Pricing the matchup…
THE CALL · WEEK 1
Start Chase Brown51% to outscore Derrick Henry
HEAD-TO-HEAD
51%
how often Chase Brown outscores Derrick Henry in Week 1 (tick = coin flip)
My matchup
Tell us your matchup spot and the call re-frames: favored teams want the safer floor, underdogs the higher ceiling. The projections never change.
RB · CIN
16.5
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling9.7-23.3 pts
MatchupTB
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards61
Rush TDs0.6
Rec yards24.2
Rec TDs0.2
Receptions3.4
Touchdowns0.8
RB · BAL
16.2
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling9.5-22.9 pts
Matchup@IND
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards
PROJ = market-implied points this week · floor/ceiling = the weekly p10-p90 band (projection ± 1.28σ). Confidence dot = how much of the projection is market-priced (green = mostly, orange = partial, gray = thin market). † = consensus estimate · * = model estimate (no market line). Click a player for every live line behind his projection.