The betting market prices Chase Brown at 10.8 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (179 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 20 live prop and prediction-market lines. 65% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receiving yards and receptions, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #29 overall value on the board and a Tier 5 RB, worth 49 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 21.4. The room takes him about 8 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #14 while the market has him #61, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the RB7 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Chase Brown a good value at ADP 21.4?
Chase Brown ranks #29 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 5 RB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 21.4. The room takes him about 8 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Chase Brown's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Chase Brown's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 11.8 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 26.9, with a median week of 16.0. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Chase Brown's projection is priced from markets?
About 65% of Chase Brown's 2026 season projection of 10.8 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (20 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receiving yards and receptions) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 49 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 18.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 21.4 overall, 8 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach; let someone else pay up.
▼The crowd is 47 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #14 vs market #61); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #61 now after finishing #24 overall last season (RB7).
2025 week by week282.6 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS