Chase Brown
RB · CINTIER 3VALUE RANK
#27
ADP
15.2
AUCTION
$32
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
240
DRAFT VALUE
+58
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Rushing yards8 SOURCES
85151.6 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
424.5+
83%
Polymarket
624.5+
73%
theScore Bet
749.5+
—
Polymarket
824.5+
55%
BetMGM
825.5+
51%
DraftKings
849.5+
51%
BetRivers
850.5+
51%
Caesars
850.5+
50%
Hard Rock
850.5+
51%
SugarHouse
850.5+
51%
Kalshi
1,000+
33%
Kalshi
1,000+
34%
Polymarket
1,024.5+
35%
Polymarket
1,224.5+
18%
Kalshi
1,250+
13%
Kalshi
1,250+
13%
Kalshi
1,500+
5%
Kalshi
1,500+
5%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 58 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 22.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 15.2 overall, 12 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
▼The crowd is 22 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #23 vs market #45) — the money is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #45 now after finishing #24 overall last season (RB7).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 71% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
1
CLE
3
2
8
1
13.1
2
JAX
3
2
18
0
8.5
3
MIN
5
4
17
0
6.0
4
DEN
3
3
31
0
10.1
5
DET
8
7
21
0
11.8
6
GB
2
2
7
0
8.9
7
PIT
4
2
-8
0
12.0
8
NYJ
3
3
32
2
25.5
9
CHI
14
8
75
0
19.2
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
11
PIT
8
6
28
0
18.7
12
NE
4
2
23
0
15.0
13
BAL
7
7
35
0
18.3
14
BUF
4
3
12
2
18.5
15
BAL
7
7
37
0
16.0
16
MIA
4
4
43
3
32.9
17
ARI
3
3
40
2
29.1
18
CLE
6
4
18
1
19.0
Season history
YR
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
PPG
FIN
2023
15
14
156
1
5.3
RB63
2024
65
54
360
11
15.9
RB10
2025
88
69
437
11
16.6
RB7