The betting market prices Kyren Williams at 11.3 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (186 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 21 live prop and prediction-market lines. 59% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receiving yards, receptions and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #9 overall value on the board and a Tier 4 RB, worth 83 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 30.7. The room lets him fall about 22 picks past what the market says he's worth. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the RB9 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Kyren Williams a good value at ADP 30.7?
Kyren Williams ranks #9 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 RB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 30.7. The room lets him fall about 22 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Kyren Williams's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Kyren Williams's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 11.1 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.0, with a median week of 16.0. 65% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Kyren Williams's projection is priced from markets?
About 59% of Kyren Williams's 2026 season projection of 11.3 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (21 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receiving yards, receptions and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 83 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 24.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 30.7 overall, 22 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
—Crowd (#22) and market (#18) largely agree on him.
▲The market prices a breakout: #18 now after finishing #28 overall last season (RB9).
2025 week by week263.3 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 65% STEADY WEEKS