The betting market prices Jonathan Taylor at 11.8 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (195 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 18 live prop and prediction-market lines. 55% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receiving yards, receptions and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #10 overall value on the board and a Tier 4 RB, worth 82 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 7.7. The room takes him about 2 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #8 while the market has him #20, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the RB4 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Jonathan Taylor a good value at ADP 7.7?
Jonathan Taylor ranks #10 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 RB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 7.7. The room takes him about 2 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Jonathan Taylor's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Jonathan Taylor's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 12.8 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 35.5, with a median week of 16.9. 77% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Jonathan Taylor's projection is priced from markets?
About 55% of Jonathan Taylor's 2026 season projection of 11.8 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (18 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receiving yards, receptions and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 82 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 22.
—Priced about right: value and the field's ADP (~7.7) agree on him within a few spots.
▼The crowd is 12 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #8 vs market #20); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #20 now after finishing #6 overall last season (RB4).
2025 week by week362.3 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 77% STEADY WEEKS