The betting market prices Jahmyr Gibbs at 11.6 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (191 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 33 live prop and prediction-market lines. 11% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving yards, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #1 overall value on the board and a Tier 1 RB, worth 193 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 1.4. The market and the draft room roughly agree on him. He finished as the RB3 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Jahmyr Gibbs a good value at ADP 1.4?
Jahmyr Gibbs ranks #1 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 1 RB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 1.4. The market and the draft room roughly agree, so he is fairly priced rather than a bargain or a reach.
What is Jahmyr Gibbs's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Jahmyr Gibbs's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 11.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 37.5, with a median week of 19.4. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Jahmyr Gibbs's projection is priced from markets?
About 11% of Jahmyr Gibbs's 2026 season projection of 11.6 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (33 on the page). The remainder (receiving yards, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 193 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 79.
—Priced about right: value and the field's ADP (~1.4) agree on him within a few spots.
—Crowd (#1) and market (#1) largely agree on him.
—Priced near last season's production: #1 now, finished #4 overall (RB3).
2025 week by week366.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS