The betting market prices Christian McCaffrey at 14.2 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (234 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 27 live prop and prediction-market lines. 72% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receiving yards and receptions, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #5 overall value on the board and a Tier 3 RB, worth 98 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 7.5. The room lets him fall about 3 picks past what the market says he's worth. He finished as the RB1 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Christian McCaffrey a good value at ADP 7.5?
Christian McCaffrey ranks #5 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 RB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 7.5. The room lets him fall about 3 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Christian McCaffrey's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Christian McCaffrey's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 17.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 34.6, with a median week of 24.1. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Christian McCaffrey's projection is priced from markets?
About 72% of Christian McCaffrey's 2026 season projection of 14.2 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (27 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receiving yards and receptions) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 98 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 26.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 7.5 overall, 3 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
—Crowd (#6) and market (#8) largely agree on him.
—Priced near last season's production: #8 now, finished #1 overall (RB1).
2025 week by week416.6 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS