Derrick Henry
RB · BALTIER 3VALUE RANK
#30
ADP
19.3
AUCTION
$29
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
233
DRAFT VALUE
+51
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Rushing yards7 SOURCES
1,25976.3 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
1,049.5+
66%
BetRivers
1,200.5+
50%
Hard Rock
1,200.5+
50%
SugarHouse
1,200.5+
50%
Caesars
1,225.5+
50%
DraftKings
1,249.5+
50%
theScore Bet
1,249.5+
—
Polymarket
1,249.5+
50%
BetMGM
1,250.5+
48%
Polymarket
1,449.5+
36%
Polymarket
1,649.5+
21%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 51 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 16.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 19.3 overall, 11 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
▼The crowd is 43 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #8 vs market #51) — the money is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #51 now after finishing #25 overall last season (RB8).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 82% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
1
BUF
1
1
13
2
29.2
2
CLE
0
0
0
0
2.3
3
DET
1
1
7
1
10.7
4
KC
3
2
16
0
7.8
5
HOU
1
0
0
1
9.3
6
LA
2
1
8
0
14.0
8
CHI
1
0
0
2
19.1
9
MIA
1
1
2
0
13.1
10
MIN
3
3
9
0
11.4
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
11
CLE
2
2
19
1
20.2
12
NYJ
2
2
24
2
22.8
13
CIN
1
1
44
1
17.4
14
PIT
2
1
8
0
11.2
15
CIN
0
0
0
0
10.0
16
NE
0
0
0
2
22.8
17
GB
0
0
0
4
45.6
18
PIT
1
0
0
0
12.6
Season history
YR
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
PPG
FIN
2023
36
28
214
12
14.5
RB8
2024
22
19
193
18
19.8
RB4
2025
21
15
150
16
16.4
RB8
Head-to-heads
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