The betting market prices David Montgomery at 7.0 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (116 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 19 live prop and prediction-market lines. 28% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receiving yards, receptions and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #134 overall value on the board and a Tier 8 RB, though he projects 9 season points below RB26, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 71.8. The room takes him about 62 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #45 while the market has him #143, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the RB27 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is David Montgomery a good value at ADP 71.8?
David Montgomery ranks #134 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 8 RB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 71.8. The room takes him about 62 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is David Montgomery's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, David Montgomery's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.0 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 15.9, with a median week of 8.3. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of David Montgomery's projection is priced from markets?
About 28% of David Montgomery's 2026 season projection of 7.0 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (19 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receiving yards, receptions and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 9 season points BELOW RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 71.8 overall, 62 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach; let someone else pay up.
▼The crowd is 98 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #45 vs market #143); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #143 now after finishing #97 overall last season (RB27).
2025 week by week166.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS