Pricing the matchup…
THE CALL · WEEK 1
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba54% to outscore Chris Olave
HEAD-TO-HEAD
54%
how often Jaxon Smith-Njigba outscores Chris Olave in Week 1 (tick = coin flip)
My matchup
Tell us your matchup spot and the call re-frames: favored teams want the safer floor, underdogs the higher ceiling. The projections never change.
WR · NO
17.2
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling9.7-24.7 pts
Matchup@DET
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards0.5
Rec yards80
Rec TDs0.5
Receptions6.3
Touchdowns0.5
WR · SEA
18.1
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling10.8-25.5 pts
MatchupNE
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards
PROJ = market-implied points this week · floor/ceiling = the weekly p10-p90 band (projection ± 1.28σ). Confidence dot = how much of the projection is market-priced (green = mostly, orange = partial, gray = thin market). † = consensus estimate · * = model estimate (no market line). Click a player for every live line behind his projection.