Pricing the matchup…
THE CALL · WEEK 1
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown53% to outscore Jaxon Smith-Njigba
HEAD-TO-HEAD
53%
how often Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Jaxon Smith-Njigba in Week 1 (tick = coin flip)
My matchup
Tell us your matchup spot and the call re-frames: favored teams want the safer floor, underdogs the higher ceiling. The projections never change.
WR · DET
18.8
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling12.0-25.5 pts
MatchupNO
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards0.8
Rec yards82.8
Rec TDs0.6
Receptions6.5
Touchdowns0.6
WR · SEA
18.1
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling10.8-25.5 pts
MatchupNE
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards
PROJ = market-implied points this week · floor/ceiling = the weekly p10-p90 band (projection ± 1.28σ). Confidence dot = how much of the projection is market-priced (green = mostly, orange = partial, gray = thin market). † = consensus estimate · * = model estimate (no market line). Click a player for every live line behind his projection.