The betting market prices Amon-Ra St. Brown at 16.1 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (265 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 25 live prop and prediction-market lines. 79% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest is filled in: receptions from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources, while rushing yards is a model estimate from recent production.
That makes him the #7 overall value on the board and a Tier 1 WR, worth 96 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 8.3. The market and the draft room roughly agree on him. He finished as the WR3 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Amon-Ra St. Brown a good value at ADP 8.3?
Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks #7 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 1 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 8.3. The market and the draft room roughly agree, so he is fairly priced rather than a bargain or a reach.
What is Amon-Ra St. Brown's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 13.7 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 33.6, with a median week of 18.0. 77% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Amon-Ra St. Brown's projection is priced from markets?
About 79% of Amon-Ra St. Brown's 2026 season projection of 16.1 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (25 on the page). The remainder (receptions and rushing yards) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 96 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 23.
—Priced about right: value and the field's ADP (~8.3) agree on him within a few spots.
—Crowd (#10) and market (#12) largely agree on him.
—Priced near last season's production: #12 now, finished #11 overall (WR3).
2025 week by week324.0 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 77% STEADY WEEKS