The betting market prices Puka Nacua at 13.6 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (225 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 25 live prop and prediction-market lines. 75% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receptions, rushing TDs and rushing yards, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #3 overall value on the board and a Tier 1 WR, worth 101 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 6.1. The room lets him fall about 3 picks past what the market says he's worth. He finished as the WR1 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Puka Nacua a good value at ADP 6.1?
Puka Nacua ranks #3 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 1 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 6.1. The room lets him fall about 3 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Puka Nacua's floor and ceiling?
Across 16 games in 2025, Puka Nacua's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 16.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 35.9, with a median week of 23.0. 69% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Puka Nacua's projection is priced from markets?
About 75% of Puka Nacua's 2026 season projection of 13.6 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (25 on the page). The remainder (receptions, rushing TDs and rushing yards) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 101 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 47.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 6.1 overall, 3 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
—Crowd (#5) and market (#4) largely agree on him.
—Priced near last season's production: #4 now, finished #2 overall (WR1).
2025 week by week375.0 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 69% STEADY WEEKS