The betting market prices Garrett Wilson at 7.9 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (131 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 25 live prop and prediction-market lines. 32% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving yards and receptions, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #40 overall value on the board and a Tier 4 WR, worth 34 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 44.4. The room lets him fall about 4 picks past what the market says he's worth. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the WR62 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Garrett Wilson a good value at ADP 44.4?
Garrett Wilson ranks #40 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 44.4. The room lets him fall about 4 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Garrett Wilson's floor and ceiling?
Across 7 games in 2025, Garrett Wilson's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.7 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 23.3, with a median week of 19.1. 57% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Garrett Wilson's projection is priced from markets?
About 32% of Garrett Wilson's 2026 season projection of 7.9 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (25 on the page). The remainder (receiving yards and receptions) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 34 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 13.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 44.4 overall, 4 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
—Crowd (#67) and market (#69) largely agree on him.
▲The market prices a breakout: #69 now after finishing #173 overall last season (WR62).
2025 week by week99.5 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 57% STEADY WEEKS