The betting market prices Mike Evans at 9.1 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (151 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 25 live prop and prediction-market lines. 31% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving yards and receptions, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #42 overall value on the board and a Tier 4 WR, worth 33 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 81.9. The room lets him fall about 40 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #87 while the market has him #70, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the WR75 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Mike Evans a good value at ADP 81.9?
Mike Evans ranks #42 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 81.9. The room lets him fall about 40 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Mike Evans's floor and ceiling?
Across 8 games in 2025, Mike Evans's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 8.9 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 15.6, with a median week of 11.3. 75% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Mike Evans's projection is priced from markets?
About 31% of Mike Evans's 2026 season projection of 9.1 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (25 on the page). The remainder (receiving yards and receptions) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 33 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 11.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 81.9 overall, 40 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 17 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #70 vs crowd #87); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #70 now after finishing #203 overall last season (WR75).
2025 week by week84.8 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 75% STEADY WEEKS