The betting market prices Michael Wilson at 8.5 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (140 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 11 live prop and prediction-market lines. 61% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #51 overall value on the board and a Tier 5 WR, worth 27 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 106.8. The room lets him fall about 56 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #94 while the market has him #79, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the WR10 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Michael Wilson a good value at ADP 106.8?
Michael Wilson ranks #51 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 5 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 106.8. The room lets him fall about 56 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Michael Wilson's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Michael Wilson's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 26.5, with a median week of 8.4. 77% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Michael Wilson's projection is priced from markets?
About 61% of Michael Wilson's 2026 season projection of 8.5 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (11 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 27 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 30.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 106.8 overall, 56 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 15 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #79 vs crowd #94); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #79 now after finishing #45 overall last season (WR10).
2025 week by week220.6 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 77% STEADY WEEKS