The betting market prices Xavier Worthy at 7.3 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (121 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 7 live prop and prediction-market lines. 52% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest is filled in: receiving TDs, receptions and rushing yards from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources, while rushing TDs is a model estimate from recent production.
That makes him the #108 overall value on the board and a Tier 7 WR, though he projects 2 season points below WR34, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 133.1. The room lets him fall about 25 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #184 while the market has him #119, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the WR59 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Xavier Worthy a good value at ADP 133.1?
Xavier Worthy ranks #108 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 7 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 133.1. The room lets him fall about 25 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Xavier Worthy's floor and ceiling?
Across 14 games in 2025, Xavier Worthy's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 5.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 11.3, with a median week of 8.2. 57% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Xavier Worthy's projection is priced from markets?
About 52% of Xavier Worthy's 2026 season projection of 7.3 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (7 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receptions, rushing yards and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 2 season points BELOW WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 133.1 overall, 25 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 65 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #119 vs crowd #184); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #119 now after finishing #163 overall last season (WR59).
2025 week by week109.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 57% STEADY WEEKS