No season props are currently posted on Brian Thomas Jr., so his 2026 projection of 4.0 PPR points per game comes from our model rather than market prices.
That makes him the #241 overall value on the board and a Tier 11 WR, though he projects 39 season points below WR34, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 102.8. The room takes him about 138 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #93 while the market has him #227, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the WR42 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Brian Thomas Jr. a good value at ADP 102.8?
Brian Thomas Jr. ranks #241 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 11 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 102.8. The room takes him about 138 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s floor and ceiling?
Across 14 games in 2025, Brian Thomas Jr.'s weekly floor (25th percentile) was 7.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 15.6, with a median week of 8.7. 79% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Brian Thomas Jr.'s projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Brian Thomas Jr. for the 2026 season, so his 4.0-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 39 season points BELOW WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼The crowd is 134 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #93 vs market #227); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #227 now after finishing #117 overall last season (WR42).
2025 week by week138.8 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 79% STEADY WEEKS