The betting market prices DeVonta Smith at 7.9 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (131 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 25 live prop and prediction-market lines. 25% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving yards and receptions, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #28 overall value on the board and a Tier 3 WR, worth 52 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 42.0. The room lets him fall about 14 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #32 while the market has him #42, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the WR20 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is DeVonta Smith a good value at ADP 42.0?
DeVonta Smith ranks #28 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 42.0. The room lets him fall about 14 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is DeVonta Smith's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, DeVonta Smith's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 7.0 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 19.6, with a median week of 9.3. 77% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of DeVonta Smith's projection is priced from markets?
About 25% of DeVonta Smith's 2026 season projection of 7.9 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (25 on the page). The remainder (receiving yards and receptions) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 52 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 8.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 42 overall, 14 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▼The crowd is 10 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #32 vs market #42); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▲The market prices a breakout: #42 now after finishing #64 overall last season (WR20).
2025 week by week201.8 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 77% STEADY WEEKS