The betting market prices Courtland Sutton at 7.8 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (129 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 12 live prop and prediction-market lines. 57% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs and receptions, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #192 overall value on the board and a Tier 9 WR, though he projects 24 season points below WR34, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 118.1. The room takes him about 74 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #124 while the market has him #176, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the WR13 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Courtland Sutton a good value at ADP 118.1?
Courtland Sutton ranks #192 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 9 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 118.1. The room takes him about 74 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Courtland Sutton's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Courtland Sutton's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 8.0 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 21.9, with a median week of 12.2. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Courtland Sutton's projection is priced from markets?
About 57% of Courtland Sutton's 2026 season projection of 7.8 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (12 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs and receptions) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 24 season points BELOW WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼The crowd is 52 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #124 vs market #176); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #176 now after finishing #48 overall last season (WR13).
2025 week by week219.7 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS