The betting market prices Josh Downs at 7.0 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (115 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 6 live prop and prediction-market lines. 65% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #97 overall value on the board and a Tier 6 WR, though he projects 1 season points below WR34, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 123.1. The room lets him fall about 26 picks past what the market says he's worth. He finished as the WR43 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Josh Downs a good value at ADP 123.1?
Josh Downs ranks #97 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 6 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 123.1. The room lets him fall about 26 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Josh Downs's floor and ceiling?
Across 16 games in 2025, Josh Downs's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 5.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 14.6, with a median week of 8.0. 69% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Josh Downs's projection is priced from markets?
About 65% of Josh Downs's 2026 season projection of 7.0 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (6 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 1 season points BELOW WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 123.1 overall, 26 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
—Crowd (#114) and market (#116) largely agree on him.
—Priced near last season's production: #116 now, finished #119 overall (WR43).
2025 week by week138.4 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 69% STEADY WEEKS