Josh Downs
WR · INDTIER 8VALUE RANK
#119
ADP
99.5
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
170
DRAFT VALUE
-13
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Receiving yards5 SOURCES
76246.2 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
574.5+
66%
BetRivers
750.5+
50%
Hard Rock
750.5+
50%
SugarHouse
750.5+
50%
DraftKings
774.5+
50%
Polymarket
774.5+
50%
Polymarket
974.5+
30%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 13 season points BELOW WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 99.5 overall, 19 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
▼The crowd is 23 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #99 vs market #122) — the money is more skeptical than public sentiment.
—Priced near last season's production: #122 now, finished #119 overall (WR43).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 69% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
1
MIA
3
2
12
0
3.2
2
DEN
8
6
51
0
11.1
3
TEN
3
2
34
0
5.4
4
LA
5
4
24
0
6.4
5
LV
8
6
54
0
11.4
6
ARI
7
6
42
1
16.2
8
TEN
3
3
39
1
12.9
9
PIT
9
6
57
1
17.7
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
10
ATL
2
1
3
0
1.3
12
KC
6
2
10
0
3.0
13
HOU
6
2
44
0
6.4
14
JAX
5
4
23
0
6.3
15
SEA
5
3
13
1
10.3
16
SF
9
5
65
0
11.8
17
JAX
5
2
34
0
5.4
18
HOU
4
4
61
0
9.6
Season history
YR
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
PPG
FIN
2023
98
68
771
2
9.2
WR44
2024
107
72
803
5
13.0
WR37
2025
88
58
566
4
8.7
WR43