Justin Jefferson
WR · MINTIER 3VALUE RANK
#18
ADP
12.3
AUCTION
$38
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
254
DRAFT VALUE
+71
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Rushing yardsMODEL EST.
2.60.2 / GM
NO MARKET LINES — ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 71 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 30.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 12.3 overall, 6 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
▼The crowd is 32 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #3 vs market #35) — the money is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▲The market prices a breakout: #35 now after finishing #65 overall last season (WR21).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 65% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
1
CHI
7
4
44
1
14.8
2
ATL
6
3
81
0
11.1
3
CIN
7
5
75
0
12.5
4
PIT
11
10
126
0
22.6
5
CLE
11
7
123
0
19.3
7
PHI
10
5
79
0
12.9
8
LAC
11
7
74
0
14.4
9
DET
9
6
47
1
16.7
10
BAL
12
4
37
0
7.7
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
11
CHI
9
5
61
0
11.1
12
GB
6
4
48
0
8.8
13
SEA
6
2
4
0
2.4
14
WAS
4
2
11
0
3.1
15
DAL
8
2
22
0
4.2
16
NYG
8
6
85
0
14.5
17
DET
5
4
30
0
7.0
18
GB
11
8
101
0
18.4
Season history
YR
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
PPG
FIN
2023
100
68
1,074
5
20.4
WR31
2024
154
103
1,533
10
18.7
WR2
2025
141
84
1,048
2
11.8
WR21