The betting market prices Nico Collins at 9.6 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (158 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 27 live prop and prediction-market lines. 28% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving yards, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #24 overall value on the board and a Tier 3 WR, worth 55 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 26.6. The room lets him fall about 3 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #31 while the market has him #38, one of the larger disagreements on the board. He finished as the WR8 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Nico Collins a good value at ADP 26.6?
Nico Collins ranks #24 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 26.6. The room lets him fall about 3 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Nico Collins's floor and ceiling?
Across 15 games in 2025, Nico Collins's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 9.3 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 23.1, with a median week of 14.5. 67% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Nico Collins's projection is priced from markets?
About 28% of Nico Collins's 2026 season projection of 9.6 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (27 on the page). The remainder (receiving yards, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 55 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 14.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 26.6 overall, 3 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▼The crowd is 7 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #31 vs market #38); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
—Priced near last season's production: #38 now, finished #42 overall (WR8).
2025 week by week226.2 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 67% STEADY WEEKS