Pricing the matchup…
THE CALL · WEEK 1
Start Justin Jefferson55% to outscore Nico Collins
HEAD-TO-HEAD
55%
how often Justin Jefferson outscores Nico Collins in Week 1 (tick = coin flip)
My matchup
Tell us your matchup spot and the call re-frames: favored teams want the safer floor, underdogs the higher ceiling. The projections never change.
WR · MIN
16.3
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling8.9-23.8 pts
MatchupGB
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards0.6
Rec yards77.3
Rec TDs0.5
Receptions5.8
Touchdowns0.5
WR · HOU
15.4
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling8.5-22.3 pts
MatchupBUF
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards
PROJ = market-implied points this week · floor/ceiling = the weekly p10-p90 band (projection ± 1.28σ). Confidence dot = how much of the projection is market-priced (green = mostly, orange = partial, gray = thin market). † = consensus estimate · * = model estimate (no market line). Click a player for every live line behind his projection.