Pricing the matchup…
THE CALL · WEEK 1
Start Justin Herbert52% to outscore Lamar Jackson
HEAD-TO-HEAD
52%
how often Justin Herbert outscores Lamar Jackson in Week 1 (tick = coin flip)
My matchup
Tell us your matchup spot and the call re-frames: favored teams want the safer floor, underdogs the higher ceiling. The projections never change.
QB · LAC
20.6
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling13.8-27.4 pts
MatchupARI
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Pass yards234.1
Pass TDs2.1
Interceptions0.4
Rush yards21
Rush TDs0.3
Touchdowns0.3
QB · BAL
20.2
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling10.6-29.8 pts
Matchup@IND
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Pass yards
PROJ = market-implied points this week · floor/ceiling = the weekly p10-p90 band (projection ± 1.28σ). Confidence dot = how much of the projection is market-priced (green = mostly, orange = partial, gray = thin market). † = consensus estimate · * = model estimate (no market line). Click a player for every live line behind his projection.