Lamar Jackson

QB · BALTIER 2
VALUE RANK
#60
ADP
40.7
AUCTION
$15
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200

Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.

Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1

Auction

PROJECTED PTS
287
DRAFT VALUE
+18
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards7 SOURCES
3,242196.5 / GM
9683.2k5.5k
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
2,749.5+
72%
Polymarket
2,999.5+
64%
BetMGM
3,150.5+
49%
Caesars
3,225.5+
50%
DraftKings
3,249.5+
50%
Polymarket
3,249.5+
49%
BetRivers
3,250.5+
49%
Hard Rock
3,250.5+
49%
SugarHouse
3,250.5+
49%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
Polymarket
3,499.5+
39%
Polymarket
3,749.5+
23%

Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.

Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
Worth 18 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 3.
Overvalued: the field takes him around 40.7 overall, 19 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
The market is 94 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #14 vs crowd #108) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
The market prices a breakout: #14 now after finishing #53 overall last season (QB20).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 62% STEADY WEEKS
CEIL26.9MED16.6FLOOR7.229.4WK126.3227.0310.7425.6916.6104.7117.2126.51321.11414.6154.71620.418

Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).

WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
BUF
209
2
0
70
29.4
2
CLE
225
4
0
13
26.3
3
DET
288
3
0
35
27.0
4
KC
147
1
1
48
10.7
9
MIA
204
4
0
14
25.6
10
MIN
176
1
0
36
16.6
11
CLE
193
0
2
10
4.7
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
12
NYJ
153
0
0
11
7.2
13
CIN
246
0
1
27
6.5
14
PIT
219
1
1
43
21.1
15
CIN
150
2
1
26
14.6
16
NE
101
0
0
7
4.7
18
PIT
238
3
1
9
20.4
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
3,678
24
7
821
20.7
QB4
2024
4,172
41
4
915
25.3
QB1
2025
2,549
21
7
349
16.5
QB20
Head-to-heads
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