Jared Goff
QB · DETTIER 3VALUE RANK
#105
ADP
135.5
AUCTION
$3
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
261
DRAFT VALUE
-8
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards7 SOURCES
4,062246.2 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
theScore Bet
3,999.5+
—
Kalshi
4,000+
53%
Kalshi
4,000+
53%
BetRivers
4,000.5+
52%
Hard Rock
4,000.5+
52%
SugarHouse
4,000.5+
52%
BetMGM
4,050.5+
51%
Caesars
4,050.5+
50%
DraftKings
4,099.5+
48%
Kalshi
4,500+
32%
Kalshi
4,500+
31%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 8 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 135.5 overall, 31 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 12 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #30 vs crowd #42) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #30 now after finishing #20 overall last season (QB9).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 77% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
GB
225
1
1
-1
10.9
2
CHI
334
5
0
6
34.0
3
BAL
202
1
0
6
12.7
4
CLE
168
2
1
0
12.7
5
CIN
258
3
0
-2
20.1
6
KC
203
2
0
7
16.8
7
TB
241
1
1
7
10.3
9
MIN
284
2
0
0
19.4
10
WAS
320
3
0
0
24.8
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
11
PHI
255
1
1
-1
12.1
12
NYG
279
2
1
0
17.2
13
GB
256
2
0
24
20.6
14
DAL
309
1
0
-2
16.2
15
LA
338
3
0
0
25.5
16
PIT
364
3
0
-1
26.5
17
MIN
197
1
2
2
2.1
18
CHI
331
1
1
0
15.2
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
4,575
30
12
21
17.0
QB7
2024
4,629
37
12
56
19.1
QB6
2025
4,564
34
8
45
17.5
QB9