The betting market prices Jared Goff at 12.0 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (197 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 20 live prop and prediction-market lines. 63% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, passing yards, rushing TDs and rushing yards, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #43 overall value on the board and a Tier 2 QB, worth 33 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 108.5. The room lets him fall about 66 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #62 while the market has him #6, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the QB9 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Jared Goff a good value at ADP 108.5?
Jared Goff ranks #43 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 108.5. The room lets him fall about 66 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Jared Goff's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Jared Goff's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 12.7 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 25.9, with a median week of 16.8. 77% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Jared Goff's projection is priced from markets?
About 63% of Jared Goff's 2026 season projection of 12.0 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (20 on the page). The remainder (passing yards, rushing TDs and rushing yards) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 33 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 37.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 108.5 overall, 65 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 56 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #6 vs crowd #62); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #6 now after finishing #20 overall last season (QB9).
2025 week by week297.1 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 77% STEADY WEEKS