Kyler Murray
QB · MINTIER 4VALUE RANK
#136
ADP
142.4
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
245
DRAFT VALUE
-24
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards6 SOURCES
3,249196.9 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
BetRivers
3,000.5+
49%
Hard Rock
3,000.5+
49%
SugarHouse
3,000.5+
49%
Caesars
3,025.5+
50%
DraftKings
3,049.5+
50%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
Kalshi
3,500+
37%
Kalshi
3,500+
36%
Kalshi
4,000+
22%
Kalshi
4,000+
21%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 24 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 142.4 overall, 6 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 195 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #42 vs crowd #237) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #42 now after finishing #212 overall last season (QB38).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 100% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
NO
163
2
0
38
18.3
2
CAR
220
1
1
32
14.0
3
SF
159
1
0
37
14.1
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
4
SEA
200
2
2
41
16.1
5
TEN
220
0
0
25
15.3
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
1,799
10
5
244
18.3
QB26
2024
3,851
21
11
572
17.5
QB10
2025
962
6
3
173
15.6
QB38