Daniel Jones

QB · INDTIER 4
VALUE RANK
#131
ADP
167.1
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾

Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.

Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1

Auction

PROJECTED PTS
248
DRAFT VALUE
-21
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards5 SOURCES
3,324201.4 / GM
6033.3k6.0k
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
DraftKings
3,299.5+
50%
Caesars
3,300.5+
50%
BetRivers
3,350.5+
48%
Hard Rock
3,350.5+
48%
SugarHouse
3,350.5+
48%

Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.

Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 21 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 167.1 overall, 36 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 37 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #38 vs crowd #75) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #38 now, finished #41 overall (QB18).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 85% STEADY WEEKS
CEIL23.1MED16.7FLOOR15.529.5WK122.8215.8310.4416.7522.5622.2723.2814.1915.51016.81216.1130.814

Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).

WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
MIA
272
1
0
26
29.5
2
DEN
316
1
0
2
22.8
3
TEN
228
1
0
27
15.8
4
LA
262
1
2
-1
10.4
5
LV
212
2
0
2
16.7
6
ARI
212
2
1
20
22.5
7
LAC
288
2
0
7
22.2
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
8
TEN
272
3
0
3
23.2
9
PIT
342
1
3
4
14.1
10
ATL
255
1
1
53
15.5
12
KC
181
2
0
16
16.8
13
HOU
201
2
0
1
16.1
14
JAX
60
0
1
4
0.8
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
909
2
6
206
9.5
QB44
2024
2,070
8
7
265
13.5
QB28
2025
3,101
19
8
164
17.4
QB18
Head-to-heads
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