Malik Willis
QB · MIATIER 4VALUE RANK
#147
ADP
160.1
AUCTION
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12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
240
DRAFT VALUE
-29
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards7 SOURCES
2,967179.8 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Caesars
2,850.5+
50%
BetMGM
2,925.5+
46%
DraftKings
2,949.5+
50%
BetRivers
2,950.5+
49%
Hard Rock
2,950.5+
49%
SugarHouse
2,950.5+
49%
Kalshi
3,000+
42%
Kalshi
3,000+
47%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
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Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 29 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 160.1 overall, 13 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 141 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #44 vs crowd #185) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #44 now after finishing #272 overall last season (QB43).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 50% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
11
NYG
6
1
0
16
5.8
12
MIN
7
0
0
3
0.6
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
16
CHI
121
1
0
44
13.2
17
BAL
288
1
0
60
31.5
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
74
0
0
21
1.5
QB70
2024
550
3
0
138
8.6
QB44
2025
422
3
0
123
12.8
QB43