The betting market prices Tyler Shough at 16.4 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (270 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 17 live prop and prediction-market lines. 91% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, rushing TDs and rushing yards, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #148 overall value on the board and a Tier 3 QB, though he projects 12 season points below QB12, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 127.2. The room takes him about 21 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #176 while the market has him #36, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the QB26 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Tyler Shough a good value at ADP 127.2?
Tyler Shough ranks #148 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 127.2. The room takes him about 21 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Tyler Shough's floor and ceiling?
Across 11 games in 2025, Tyler Shough's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 8.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 21.8, with a median week of 17.4. 64% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Tyler Shough's projection is priced from markets?
About 91% of Tyler Shough's 2026 season projection of 16.4 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (17 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs and rushing yards) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 12 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 127.2 overall, 21 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach; let someone else pay up.
▲The market is 140 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #36 vs crowd #176); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #36 now after finishing #105 overall last season (QB26).
2025 week by week158.0 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 64% STEADY WEEKS