Tyler Shough
QB · NOTIER 4VALUE RANK
#123
ADP
160.3
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
254
DRAFT VALUE
-15
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
3,504212.4 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
3,000+
72%
Kalshi
3,000+
72%
Polymarket
3,149.5+
67%
Polymarket
3,399.5+
56%
BetMGM
3,400.5+
51%
DraftKings
3,449.5+
52%
Caesars
3,450.5+
50%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
BetRivers
3,500.5+
50%
Hard Rock
3,500.5+
50%
SugarHouse
3,500.5+
50%
Polymarket
3,649.5+
43%
Polymarket
3,899.5+
28%
Kalshi
4,000+
25%
Kalshi
4,000+
27%
Kalshi
4,500+
12%
Kalshi
4,500+
9%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 15 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 160.3 overall, 37 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 86 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #34 vs crowd #120) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #34 now after finishing #105 overall last season (QB26).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 64% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
3
SEA
0
0
0
0
0.0
8
TB
128
0
1
12
4.3
9
LA
176
1
1
2
9.2
10
CAR
282
2
0
-3
19.0
12
ATL
243
0
1
22
7.9
13
MIA
239
2
1
18
17.4
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
14
TB
144
0
1
55
21.3
15
CAR
272
1
0
32
18.1
16
NYJ
308
1
0
8
17.1
17
TEN
333
2
0
6
21.9
18
ATL
259
1
1
34
21.8
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2025
2,384
10
6
186
14.4
QB26