Brock Purdy
QB · SFTIER 2VALUE RANK
#49
ADP
121.3
AUCTION
$18
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
296
DRAFT VALUE
+27
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
3,799230.2 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
3,299.5+
72%
Polymarket
3,549.5+
62%
BetRivers
3,750.5+
50%
Hard Rock
3,750.5+
50%
SugarHouse
3,750.5+
50%
BetMGM
3,775.5+
51%
Caesars
3,775.5+
50%
DraftKings
3,799.5+
50%
Polymarket
3,799.5+
48%
theScore Bet
3,999.5+
—
Kalshi
4,000+
42%
Kalshi
4,000+
41%
Polymarket
4,049.5+
34%
Polymarket
4,299.5+
22%
Kalshi
4,500+
19%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 27 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 11.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 121.3 overall, 72 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 43 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #9 vs crowd #52) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #9 now after finishing #88 overall last season (QB23).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 78% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
SEA
277
2
2
17
16.8
4
JAX
309
2
2
13
17.7
11
ARI
200
3
0
-7
19.3
12
CAR
193
1
3
16
7.3
13
CLE
168
1
0
4
17.1
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
15
TEN
295
3
0
44
26.2
16
IND
295
5
1
11
30.9
17
CHI
303
3
1
28
36.9
18
SEA
127
0
1
21
5.2
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
4,280
31
11
144
18.5
QB6
2024
3,864
20
12
323
17.8
QB13
2025
2,167
20
10
147
19.7
QB23