The betting market prices Brock Purdy at 17.4 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (288 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 20 live prop and prediction-market lines. 91% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, rushing TDs and rushing yards, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #68 overall value on the board and a Tier 2 QB, worth 12 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 76.2. The room lets him fall about 8 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #72 while the market has him #16, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the QB23 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Brock Purdy a good value at ADP 76.2?
Brock Purdy ranks #68 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 76.2. The room lets him fall about 8 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Brock Purdy's floor and ceiling?
Across 9 games in 2025, Brock Purdy's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 16.8 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 32.1, with a median week of 17.7. 78% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Brock Purdy's projection is priced from markets?
About 91% of Brock Purdy's 2026 season projection of 17.4 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (20 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs and rushing yards) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 12 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 6.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 76.2 overall, 8 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 56 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #16 vs crowd #72); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #16 now after finishing #88 overall last season (QB23).
2025 week by week177.4 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 78% STEADY WEEKS