Patrick Mahomes
QB · KCTIER 2VALUE RANK
#47
ADP
120.2
AUCTION
$19
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
296
DRAFT VALUE
+27
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards6 SOURCES
3,797230.2 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
Caesars
3,550.5+
50%
DraftKings
3,649.5+
50%
BetRivers
3,700.5+
49%
Hard Rock
3,700.5+
49%
SugarHouse
3,700.5+
49%
Kalshi
4,000+
48%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 27 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 12.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 120.2 overall, 73 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 136 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #8 vs crowd #144) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #8 now after finishing #23 overall last season (QB11).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 64% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
LAC
258
1
0
57
26.0
2
PHI
187
1
1
66
22.1
3
NYG
224
1
0
2
13.2
4
BAL
270
4
0
5
27.3
5
JAX
318
1
1
60
26.7
6
DET
257
3
0
32
31.5
7
LV
286
3
0
28
26.2
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
8
WAS
299
3
2
30
23.0
9
BUF
250
0
1
5
10.5
11
DEN
276
1
1
3
13.3
12
IND
352
0
1
30
17.1
13
DAL
261
4
0
30
29.4
14
HOU
160
0
3
59
6.3
15
LAC
189
0
1
15
13.1
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
4,183
27
14
389
17.5
QB8
2024
3,928
26
11
307
17.7
QB12
2025
3,587
22
11
422
20.4
QB11