Bo Nix
QB · DENTIER 2VALUE RANK
#66
ADP
118.8
AUCTION
$14
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
285
DRAFT VALUE
+16
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
3,547214.9 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
2,999.5+
80%
Polymarket
3,249.5+
70%
BetRivers
3,450.5+
49%
Hard Rock
3,450.5+
49%
SugarHouse
3,450.5+
49%
BetMGM
3,475.5+
52%
Caesars
3,475.5+
50%
DraftKings
3,499.5+
50%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
Polymarket
3,499.5+
52%
Kalshi
3,500+
53%
Polymarket
3,749.5+
46%
Kalshi
4,000+
25%
Kalshi
4,000+
26%
Kalshi
4,500+
14%
Kalshi
4,500+
14%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 16 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 0.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 118.8 overall, 53 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 123 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #17 vs crowd #140) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #17 now, finished #17 overall (QB7).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 82% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
TEN
176
1
2
18
6.8
2
IND
206
3
1
20
20.2
3
LAC
153
1
0
33
13.4
4
CIN
326
2
1
7
25.7
5
PHI
242
1
0
22
17.9
6
NYJ
174
1
0
24
13.4
7
NYG
279
2
0
48
40.0
8
DAL
247
4
1
-1
23.8
9
HOU
173
2
1
36
18.5
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
10
LV
150
1
2
-2
5.8
11
KC
295
0
0
8
12.6
13
WAS
321
1
1
16
16.4
14
LV
212
0
0
15
16.0
15
GB
302
4
0
10
29.1
16
JAX
352
1
1
11
15.2
17
KC
182
1
1
42
19.5
18
LAC
141
0
0
49
10.5
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2024
3,775
29
12
430
18.7
QB7
2025
3,931
25
11
356
17.9
QB7