Caleb Williams
QB · CHITIER 3VALUE RANK
#81
ADP
73.8
AUCTION
$9
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
274
DRAFT VALUE
+5
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
3,651221.3 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
3,000+
82%
Kalshi
3,000+
82%
Polymarket
3,124.5+
76%
Polymarket
3,374.5+
66%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
Kalshi
3,500+
62%
Kalshi
3,500+
62%
BetMGM
3,600.5+
52%
Polymarket
3,624.5+
51%
DraftKings
3,649.5+
52%
BetRivers
3,650.5+
52%
Caesars
3,650.5+
50%
Hard Rock
3,650.5+
52%
SugarHouse
3,650.5+
52%
Polymarket
3,874.5+
36%
Kalshi
4,000+
39%
Kalshi
4,000+
42%
Polymarket
4,124.5+
22%
Kalshi
4,500+
16%
Kalshi
4,500+
16%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 5 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 21.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 73.8 overall, 7 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
▲The market is 117 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #22 vs crowd #139) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #22 now, finished #13 overall (QB5).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 71% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
MIN
210
1
0
58
24.2
2
DET
207
2
1
27
17.0
3
DAL
298
4
0
12
29.1
4
LV
212
1
1
13
11.8
6
WAS
252
1
0
3
20.4
7
NO
172
0
1
-2
4.7
8
BAL
285
0
1
24
11.8
9
CIN
280
3
0
53
38.7
10
NYG
220
1
0
63
25.1
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
11
MIN
193
0
0
26
10.3
12
PIT
239
3
0
21
21.7
13
PHI
154
1
1
13
9.5
14
GB
186
2
1
15
14.9
15
CLE
242
2
0
13
19.0
16
GB
250
2
0
30
21.0
17
SF
330
2
0
18
23.0
18
DET
212
2
1
1
16.6
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2024
3,541
20
6
489
15.0
QB16
2025
3,942
27
7
388
18.8
QB5