The betting market prices Dak Prescott at 15.8 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (261 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 20 live prop and prediction-market lines. 95% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, rushing TDs and rushing yards, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #74 overall value on the board and a Tier 3 QB, worth 8 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 86.6. The room lets him fall about 13 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #138 while the market has him #19, one of the larger disagreements on the board. He finished as the QB6 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Dak Prescott a good value at ADP 86.6?
Dak Prescott ranks #74 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 86.6. The room lets him fall about 13 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Dak Prescott's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Dak Prescott's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 12.0 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 27.5, with a median week of 20.6. 65% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Dak Prescott's projection is priced from markets?
About 95% of Dak Prescott's 2026 season projection of 15.8 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (20 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs and rushing yards) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 8 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 53.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 86.6 overall, 13 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 119 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #19 vs crowd #138); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #19 now, finished #15 overall (QB6).
2025 week by week313.8 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 65% STEADY WEEKS