No season props are currently posted on Baker Mayfield, so his 2026 projection of 7.7 PPR points per game comes from our model rather than market prices.
That makes him the #182 overall value on the board and a Tier 3 QB, though he projects 20 season points below QB12, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 145.4. The room takes him about 37 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #186 while the market has him #44, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the QB12 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Baker Mayfield a good value at ADP 145.4?
Baker Mayfield ranks #182 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 145.4. The room takes him about 37 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Baker Mayfield's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Baker Mayfield's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 12.7 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.7, with a median week of 17.4. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Baker Mayfield's projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Baker Mayfield for the 2026 season, so his 7.7-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 20 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 142 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #44 vs crowd #186); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #44 now after finishing #26 overall last season (QB12).
2025 week by week271.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS