Baker Mayfield
QB · TBTIER 3VALUE RANK
#98
ADP
144.9
AUCTION
$5
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
264
DRAFT VALUE
-5
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards7 SOURCES
3,545214.8 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
Kalshi
3,500+
50%
BetRivers
3,500.5+
50%
Hard Rock
3,500.5+
50%
SugarHouse
3,500.5+
50%
Caesars
3,525.5+
50%
BetMGM
3,550.5+
50%
DraftKings
3,599.5+
48%
Kalshi
4,000+
25%
Kalshi
4,500+
11%
Kalshi
4,500+
10%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 5 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 144.9 overall, 47 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 128 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #27 vs crowd #155) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #27 now, finished #26 overall (QB12).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 71% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
ATL
167
3
0
39
22.6
2
HOU
215
2
0
33
19.9
3
NYJ
233
1
0
44
17.7
4
PHI
289
2
1
13
18.9
5
SEA
379
2
0
15
26.7
6
SF
256
2
0
14
19.6
7
DET
228
1
1
0
11.1
8
NO
152
0
0
0
4.1
10
NE
273
3
0
0
22.9
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
11
BUF
173
1
1
39
16.8
12
LA
41
1
2
19
3.5
13
ARI
194
1
0
27
14.5
14
NO
122
1
1
42
11.1
15
ATL
277
2
1
1
19.2
16
CAR
145
1
1
49
12.7
17
MIA
346
2
2
16
17.4
18
CAR
203
1
1
31
13.2
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
4,044
28
10
163
16.1
QB10
2024
4,500
41
16
378
21.5
QB4
2025
3,693
26
11
382
16.0
QB12