No season props are currently posted on J.J. McCarthy, so his 2026 projection of 9.4 PPR points per game comes from our model rather than market prices.
That makes him the #478 overall value on the board and a Tier 9 QB, though he projects 123 season points below QB12, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 165.4. The room takes him about 313 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #214 while the market has him #294, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the QB32 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is J.J. McCarthy a good value at ADP 165.4?
J.J. McCarthy ranks #478 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 9 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 165.4. The room takes him about 313 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is J.J. McCarthy's floor and ceiling?
Across 10 games in 2025, J.J. McCarthy's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.5 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.3, with a median week of 11.5. 50% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of J.J. McCarthy's projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price J.J. McCarthy for the 2026 season, so his 9.4-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 123 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼The crowd is 80 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #214 vs market #294); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #294 now after finishing #140 overall last season (QB32).
2025 week by week125.4 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 50% STEADY WEEKS