The betting market prices Cam Ward at 9.4 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (155 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 17 live prop and prediction-market lines. 67% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, interceptions, passing TDs, rushing TDs and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #257 overall value on the board and a Tier 5 QB, though he projects 43 season points below QB12, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 145.2. The room takes him about 112 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #268 while the market has him #80, one of the larger disagreements on the board. He finished as the QB22 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Cam Ward a good value at ADP 145.2?
Cam Ward ranks #257 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 5 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 145.2. The room takes him about 112 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Cam Ward's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Cam Ward's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.9 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 17.4, with a median week of 10.2. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Cam Ward's projection is priced from markets?
About 67% of Cam Ward's 2026 season projection of 9.4 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (17 on the page). The remainder (interceptions, passing TDs, rushing TDs and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 43 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 188 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #80 vs crowd #268); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #80 now, finished #75 overall (QB22).
2025 week by week186.7 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS