Bryce Young
QB · CARTIER 5VALUE RANK
#176
ADP
171.5
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
223
DRAFT VALUE
-45
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
2,953179.0 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
2,574.5+
68%
Polymarket
2,824.5+
56%
BetMGM
2,875.5+
50%
Caesars
2,875.5+
50%
BetRivers
2,900.5+
50%
Hard Rock
2,900.5+
50%
SugarHouse
2,900.5+
50%
DraftKings
2,924.5+
50%
Kalshi
3,000+
39%
Kalshi
3,000+
38%
Polymarket
3,074.5+
41%
Polymarket
3,324.5+
26%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
Polymarket
3,574.5+
13%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 46 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 171.5 overall, 4 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
▲The market is 46 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #61 vs crowd #107) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #61 now after finishing #49 overall last season (QB19).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 69% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
JAX
154
1
2
40
8.2
2
ARI
328
3
1
2
21.3
3
ATL
121
0
0
8
11.6
4
NE
150
1
0
3
10.3
5
MIA
198
2
1
1
12.0
6
DAL
199
3
1
5
18.5
7
NYJ
138
1
0
10
10.5
9
GB
102
0
1
9
3.0
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
10
NO
124
0
1
6
1.6
11
ATL
448
3
0
-1
31.8
12
SF
169
1
2
15
8.3
13
LA
206
3
0
23
22.5
15
NO
163
1
0
49
15.4
16
TB
191
2
0
20
17.6
17
SEA
54
0
1
27
8.9
18
TB
266
2
1
-1
16.5
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
2,877
11
10
253
9.8
QB23
2024
2,403
15
9
249
13.9
QB20
2025
3,011
23
11
216
13.6
QB19