The betting market prices Bryce Young at 15.2 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (250 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 17 live prop and prediction-market lines. 94% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, rushing TDs and rushing yards, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #77 overall value on the board and a Tier 3 QB, worth 5 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 118.8. The room lets him fall about 42 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #164 while the market has him #25, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the QB19 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Bryce Young a good value at ADP 118.8?
Bryce Young ranks #77 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 118.8. The room lets him fall about 42 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Bryce Young's floor and ceiling?
Across 16 games in 2025, Bryce Young's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 8.7 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 21.9, with a median week of 11.8. 69% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Bryce Young's projection is priced from markets?
About 94% of Bryce Young's 2026 season projection of 15.2 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (17 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs and rushing yards) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 5 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 46.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 118.8 overall, 42 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 139 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #25 vs crowd #164); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #25 now after finishing #49 overall last season (QB19).
2025 week by week218.0 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 69% STEADY WEEKS