Geno Smith
QB · NYJTIER 5VALUE RANK
#173
ADP
170.3
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
224
DRAFT VALUE
-45
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yardsKALSHI
3,775228.8 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
4,000+
37%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 45 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 170.3 overall, 3 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
▲The market is 57 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #57 vs crowd #114) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #57 now after finishing #92 overall last season (QB24).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 67% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
NE
362
1
1
10
17.5
2
LAC
180
0
3
20
3.2
3
WAS
289
3
0
5
26.1
4
CHI
117
2
3
31
9.8
5
IND
228
0
2
8
5.9
6
TEN
174
1
1
-3
8.7
7
KC
67
0
0
1
2.8
9
JAX
284
4
1
9
26.3
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
10
DEN
143
0
1
7
4.4
11
DAL
238
1
1
14
12.9
12
CLE
285
1
0
8
14.2
13
LAC
165
2
1
-6
12.0
14
DEN
116
1
0
4
9.0
16
HOU
201
2
1
0
14.0
17
NYG
176
1
2
1
7.1
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
3,624
20
9
155
15.2
QB19
2024
4,320
21
15
272
15.7
QB14
2025
3,025
19
17
109
11.6
QB24