No season props are currently posted on Geno Smith, so his 2026 projection of 7.7 PPR points per game comes from our model rather than market prices.
That makes him the #300 overall value on the board and a Tier 5 QB, though he projects 53 season points below QB12, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 169.3. The room takes him about 131 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #294 while the market has him #96, one of the larger disagreements on the board. He finished as the QB24 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Geno Smith a good value at ADP 169.3?
Geno Smith ranks #300 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 5 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 169.3. The room takes him about 131 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Geno Smith's floor and ceiling?
Across 15 games in 2025, Geno Smith's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.5 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.6, with a median week of 9.8. 67% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Geno Smith's projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Geno Smith for the 2026 season, so his 7.7-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 53 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 198 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #96 vs crowd #294); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #96 now, finished #92 overall (QB24).
2025 week by week173.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 67% STEADY WEEKS