Justin Herbert
QB · LACTIER 3VALUE RANK
#88
ADP
86.1
AUCTION
$8
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
271
DRAFT VALUE
+2
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
3,690223.6 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
3,099.5+
86%
Polymarket
3,349.5+
67%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
Polymarket
3,599.5+
56%
BetMGM
3,600.5+
52%
BetRivers
3,650.5+
51%
Caesars
3,650.5+
51%
DraftKings
3,650.5+
51%
Hard Rock
3,650.5+
48%
SugarHouse
3,650.5+
51%
Polymarket
3,849.5+
42%
Polymarket
4,099.5+
27%
Kalshi
4,500+
22%
Kalshi
4,500+
22%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 2 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 17.
—Priced about right: value and the field's ADP (~86.1) agree on him within a few spots.
—Crowd (#22) and market (#25) largely agree on him.
—Priced near last season's production: #25 now, finished #22 overall (QB10).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 88% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
KC
318
3
0
32
27.9
2
LV
242
2
0
31
18.8
3
DEN
300
1
1
6
14.6
4
NYG
203
1
2
24
12.5
5
WAS
166
1
1
60
14.6
6
MIA
264
2
0
2
18.8
7
IND
420
3
2
31
27.9
8
MIN
227
3
1
62
25.3
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
9
TEN
250
2
1
57
27.7
10
PIT
220
1
0
19
14.7
11
JAX
81
0
1
21
3.3
13
LV
151
2
1
8
12.8
14
PHI
139
1
1
66
12.2
15
KC
210
1
1
0
10.4
16
DAL
300
2
0
42
30.2
17
HOU
236
1
1
37
15.1
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
3,134
20
7
228
18.0
QB17
2024
3,870
23
3
306
16.8
QB11
2025
3,727
26
13
498
17.9
QB10