Joe Burrow
QB · CINTIER 2VALUE RANK
#58
ADP
57.2
AUCTION
$15
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
288
DRAFT VALUE
+19
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
4,058245.9 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Caesars
3,875.5+
50%
BetRivers
3,950.5+
48%
Hard Rock
3,950.5+
48%
SugarHouse
3,950.5+
48%
DraftKings
3,999.5+
50%
theScore Bet
3,999.5+
—
Polymarket
3,999.5+
50%
Kalshi
4,000+
49%
BetMGM
4,000.5+
49%
Polymarket
4,499.5+
35%
Kalshi
4,500+
28%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 19 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 4.
—Priced about right: value and the field's ADP (~57.2) agree on him within a few spots.
▲The market is 122 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #13 vs crowd #135) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #13 now after finishing #123 overall last season (QB29).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 63% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
CLE
113
1
0
3
8.8
2
JAX
76
1
0
0
7.0
13
BAL
261
2
0
8
19.2
14
BUF
284
4
2
0
23.4
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
15
BAL
225
0
2
5
5.5
16
MIA
309
4
0
6
29.0
17
ARI
305
2
0
2
20.4
18
CLE
236
3
1
17
21.1
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
2,309
15
6
88
14.7
QB25
2024
4,918
43
9
201
21.9
QB2
2025
1,809
17
5
41
16.8
QB29