The betting market prices Drake Maye at 19.3 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (319 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 30 live prop and prediction-market lines. 97% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, rushing TDs, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #49 overall value on the board and a Tier 2 QB, worth 28 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 48.6. The market and the draft room roughly agree on him. The voting crowd ranks him #64 while the market has him #7, one of the larger disagreements on the board. He finished as the QB2 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Drake Maye a good value at ADP 48.6?
Drake Maye ranks #49 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 48.6. The market and the draft room roughly agree, so he is fairly priced rather than a bargain or a reach.
What is Drake Maye's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Drake Maye's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 16.0 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 26.7, with a median week of 20.5. 94% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Drake Maye's projection is priced from markets?
About 97% of Drake Maye's 2026 season projection of 19.3 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (30 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 28 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 33.
—Priced about right: value and the field's ADP (~48.6) agree on him within a few spots.
▲The market is 57 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #7 vs crowd #64); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #7 now, finished #8 overall (QB2).
2025 week by week352.0 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 94% STEADY WEEKS