Josh Allen
QB · BUFTIER 1VALUE RANK
#20
ADP
23.8
AUCTION
$37
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
339
DRAFT VALUE
+70
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
3,595217.9 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
3,099.5+
76%
Polymarket
3,349.5+
68%
theScore Bet
3,499.5+
—
Kalshi
3,500+
55%
Polymarket
3,599.5+
56%
BetMGM
3,600.5+
52%
BetRivers
3,600.5+
50%
Hard Rock
3,600.5+
50%
SugarHouse
3,600.5+
50%
DraftKings
3,624.5+
50%
Caesars
3,650.5+
50%
Kalshi
4,000+
30%
Kalshi
4,000+
31%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 70 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league — and the next tier down costs another 36.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 23.8 overall, 4 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 91 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #1 vs crowd #92) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #1 now, finished #5 overall (QB1).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 69% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
BAL
394
2
0
30
38.8
2
NYJ
148
0
0
59
11.8
3
MIA
213
3
0
25
23.0
4
NO
209
2
1
45
24.9
5
NE
253
2
1
53
19.4
6
ATL
180
2
2
42
15.4
8
CAR
163
1
0
7
23.2
9
KC
273
1
0
19
28.8
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
10
MIA
306
2
1
31
19.3
11
TB
317
3
2
40
42.7
12
HOU
253
0
2
20
8.1
13
PIT
123
1
1
38
16.7
14
CIN
251
3
0
78
37.8
15
NE
193
3
0
48
24.5
16
CLE
130
0
0
17
6.9
17
PHI
262
0
0
27
23.2
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
4,306
29
18
524
23.2
QB1
2024
3,731
28
6
531
23.3
QB3
2025
3,668
25
10
579
22.8
QB1