Tua Tagovailoa
QB · ATLTIER 5VALUE RANK
#171
ADP
—
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
225
DRAFT VALUE
-44
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yardsMODEL EST.
3,736226.4 / GM
NO MARKET LINES — ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 44 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 10 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #56 vs crowd #66) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #56 now after finishing #104 overall last season (QB25).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 64% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
IND
114
1
2
7
5.3
2
NE
315
2
1
0
18.6
3
BUF
146
2
1
10
12.8
4
NYJ
177
2
0
6
15.7
5
CAR
256
3
0
5
22.7
6
LAC
205
1
3
4
6.6
7
CLE
100
0
3
6
-1.4
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
8
ATL
205
4
0
0
24.2
9
BAL
261
0
1
1
8.5
10
BUF
173
2
2
-1
10.8
11
WAS
171
0
0
0
6.8
13
NO
157
0
1
4
4.7
14
NYJ
127
1
0
0
9.1
15
PIT
253
2
1
1
16.2
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
4,624
29
14
74
16.0
QB11
2024
2,867
19
7
49
16.5
QB21
2025
2,660
20
15
43
11.5
QB25