Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATLTIER 7
VALUE RANK
#308
ADP
AUCTION
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200

Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.

Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1

Auction

PROJECTED PTS
163
DRAFT VALUE
-106
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yardsKALSHI
2,560155.2 / GM
2562.6k4.9k
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
3,000+
19%
Kalshi
3,000+
15%

Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.

Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
Projects 106 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
Crowd (#129) and market (#132) largely agree on him.
The market prices a breakout: #132 now after finishing #147 overall last season (QB33).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 67% STEADY WEEKS
CEIL23.0MED12.2FLOOR7.924.0WK15.323.8318.7414.6612.2722.7911.0107.911

Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).

WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
1
TB
298
1
0
21
24.0
2
MIN
135
0
0
-1
5.3
3
CAR
172
0
2
9
3.8
4
WAS
313
2
1
2
18.7
6
BUF
250
1
0
6
14.6
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
7
SF
241
1
0
6
12.2
9
NE
221
3
0
19
22.7
10
IND
177
1
0
-1
11.0
11
CAR
175
0
0
9
7.9
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2025
1,982
9
3
70
13.4
QB33
Head-to-heads
Disagree with the crowd?VOTE NOW →