No season props are currently posted on Michael Penix Jr., so his 2026 projection of 8.8 PPR points per game comes from our model rather than market prices.
That makes him the #297 overall value on the board and a Tier 5 QB, though he projects 53 season points below QB12, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 168.5. The room takes him about 128 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #232 while the market has him #95, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the QB33 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Michael Penix Jr. a good value at ADP 168.5?
Michael Penix Jr. ranks #297 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 5 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 168.5. The room takes him about 128 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Michael Penix Jr.'s floor and ceiling?
Across 9 games in 2025, Michael Penix Jr.'s weekly floor (25th percentile) was 7.9 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 23.0, with a median week of 12.2. 67% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Michael Penix Jr.'s projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Michael Penix Jr. for the 2026 season, so his 8.8-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 53 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 137 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #95 vs crowd #232); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #95 now after finishing #147 overall last season (QB33).
2025 week by week120.3 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 67% STEADY WEEKS