No season props are currently posted on Dawson Knox, so his 2026 projection of 2.2 PPR points per game comes from our model rather than market prices.
That makes him the #309 overall value on the board and a Tier 7 TE, though he projects 55 season points below TE12, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 169.4. The room takes him about 140 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #236 while the market has him #379, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the TE28 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Dawson Knox a good value at ADP 169.4?
Dawson Knox ranks #309 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 7 TE) against an industry-consensus ADP of 169.4. The room takes him about 140 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Dawson Knox's floor and ceiling?
Across 16 games in 2025, Dawson Knox's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 3.5 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 13.9, with a median week of 4.3. 81% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Dawson Knox's projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Dawson Knox for the 2026 season, so his 2.2-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 55 season points BELOW TE12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼The crowd is 143 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #236 vs market #379); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #379 now after finishing #166 overall last season (TE28).
2025 week by week103.7 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 81% STEADY WEEKS