T.J. Hockenson

TE · MINTIER 4
VALUE RANK
#141
ADP
159.5
AUCTION
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200

Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.

Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1

Auction

PROJECTED PTS
126
DRAFT VALUE
-26
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Receiving yards4 SOURCES
50930.8 / GM
-43874755.3k
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
DraftKings
474.5+
50%
BetRivers
500.5+
49%
Caesars
500.5+
50%
SugarHouse
500.5+
49%

Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.

Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
Projects 26 season points BELOW TE12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
Undervalued: the field drafts him around 159.5 overall, 19 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
The market is 5 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #179 vs crowd #184) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
The market expects regression: #179 now after finishing #161 overall last season (TE26).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 60% STEADY WEEKS
CEIL11.4MED7.9FLOOR4.54.5WK12.2215.937.949.8510.374.689.192.8106.9115.91211.9139.21410.6151.216

Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).

WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
1
CHI
4
3
15
0
4.5
2
ATL
3
1
12
0
2.2
3
CIN
6
5
49
1
15.9
4
PIT
5
4
39
0
7.9
5
CLE
6
6
38
0
9.8
7
PHI
9
6
43
0
10.3
8
LAC
3
2
26
0
4.6
9
DET
3
2
11
1
9.1
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
10
BAL
2
2
8
0
2.8
11
CHI
6
3
39
0
6.9
12
GB
4
4
19
0
5.9
13
SEA
6
6
59
0
11.9
14
WAS
3
2
12
1
9.2
15
DAL
5
4
66
0
10.6
16
NYG
1
1
2
0
1.2
Season history
YR
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
PPG
FIN
2023
127
95
960
5
14.6
TE4
2024
62
41
455
0
8.7
TE34
2025
66
51
438
3
7.5
TE26
Head-to-heads
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