Pricing the matchup…
THE CALL · WEEK 1
Start DeVonta Smith51% to outscore Rashee Rice
HEAD-TO-HEAD
51%
how often DeVonta Smith outscores Rashee Rice in Week 1 (tick = coin flip)
My matchup
Tell us your matchup spot and the call re-frames: favored teams want the safer floor, underdogs the higher ceiling. The projections never change.
WR · PHI
14.6
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling7.0-22.2 pts
MatchupWAS
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rec yards67.3
Rec TDs0.4
Receptions5.3
Touchdowns0.4
WR · KC
14.5
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling8.5-20.6 pts
MatchupDEN
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards
PROJ = market-implied points this week · floor/ceiling = the weekly p10-p90 band (projection ± 1.28σ). Confidence dot = how much of the projection is market-priced (green = mostly, orange = partial, gray = thin market). † = consensus estimate · * = model estimate (no market line). Click a player for every live line behind his projection.