The betting market prices Aaron Jones at 8.0 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (132 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 7 live prop and prediction-market lines. 54% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receiving yards, receptions and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #45 overall value on the board and a Tier 6 RB, worth 31 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 119.1. The room lets him fall about 74 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #222 while the market has him #83, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the RB41 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Aaron Jones a good value at ADP 119.1?
Aaron Jones ranks #45 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 6 RB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 119.1. The room lets him fall about 74 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Aaron Jones's floor and ceiling?
Across 12 games in 2025, Aaron Jones's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.9 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 15.7, with a median week of 10.3. 67% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Aaron Jones's projection is priced from markets?
About 54% of Aaron Jones's 2026 season projection of 8.0 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (7 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receiving yards, receptions and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 31 season points more than RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 22.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 119.1 overall, 74 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 139 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #83 vs crowd #222); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #83 now after finishing #148 overall last season (RB41).
2025 week by week118.7 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 67% STEADY WEEKS