Aaron Jones
RB · MINTIER 6VALUE RANK
#143
ADP
122.6
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
154
DRAFT VALUE
-28
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Rushing yards6 SOURCES
54232.9 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
224.5+
79%
Polymarket
424.5+
62%
DraftKings
474.5+
51%
Caesars
475.5+
50%
BetRivers
500.5+
49%
Hard Rock
500.5+
49%
SugarHouse
500.5+
49%
Polymarket
624.5+
43%
Polymarket
824.5+
25%
Polymarket
1,024.5+
19%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 28 season points BELOW RB26, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 122.6 overall, 20 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach — let someone else pay up.
▼The crowd is 16 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #127 vs market #143) — the money is more skeptical than public sentiment.
—Priced near last season's production: #143 now, finished #148 overall (RB41).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 67% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
1
CHI
3
3
44
1
15.7
2
ATL
1
0
0
0
2.3
8
LAC
4
2
15
0
5.0
9
DET
2
2
20
0
11.8
10
BAL
6
3
22
1
15.9
11
CHI
6
3
11
0
11.1
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
12
GB
4
3
16
0
8.7
13
SEA
4
4
22
0
4.5
14
WAS
1
0
0
0
7.6
15
DAL
3
3
31
0
9.5
16
NYG
3
2
8
0
11.3
17
DET
4
3
10
1
15.3
Season history
YR
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
PPG
FIN
2023
43
30
233
3
12.3
RB37
2024
62
51
408
7
14.2
RB14
2025
41
28
199
3
9.9
RB41